Manchester Economic Forecasting

New

Full Global Bespoke DIY Forecast Service

 

Features of Detailed service:

  • All major Exogenous/Policy Variables set by MEF in line with OECD, Paris;
  • MEF ensures all latest data & budget plans incorporated;
  • Aimed at forecasters setting a number of key policy/currency assumptions...
  • ..perhaps co-ordinating input from different country/regional experts;
  • MEF quickly produces tailored forecast from client input;
  • Draft forecast tables e-mailed by MEF for client inspection/changes;
  • Final forecast/scenario tables e-mailed by MEF for inclusion in client publications.

Many economist/strategists do not have the time to run or maintain a Global/UK economic model, yet are required to produce coherent forecast views for their country/region of interest. For considerably less than the cost of employing a forecasting economist & subscribing to a (global) model, MEF can fill that gap, cost-effectively. Forecast products currently available tend to be rather rigid & sold on a "take-it-or-leave-it" basis. This may suit some organisations, but many others increasingly need to explore specific macroeconomic risks - either interest rate, currency or market/country demand - at both a national & global level.

A Simple 3 Stage Procedure each quarter:

a) client's views on key (or "exogenous" and policy) variables are entered on a downloadable spreadsheet which is filled-in by clients & e-mailed back to MEF; where no strong client views are held, existing MEF default assumptions are utilised.

b) a "draft" central forecast is quickly produced from these inputs & e-mailed back to clients where it can be "fine-tuned" if required; optionally, clients can also specifiy 2 forecast scenarios around their main or "central" forecast in order to quantify any perceived risks to that forecast.

c) spreadsheet forecast tables from the final forecast & scenarios are e-mailed to clients for incorporation into their internal or external publications; custom charts can then be easily (pre-)constructed to illustrate the forcasts from the spreadsheet forecast tables.